Kansas Real-Time Water Quality

Kansas Real-Time Water Quality

NRTWQ Home >> Kansas >> View Data >> 06887500

USGS station:	Go to NWISWeb
Constituent:
Time period:
Model Form:

Model Form #2

PMC =	e ^{- 0.872 - 1.716 sin(2π D / 365) - 1.313 cos(2π D / 365) + 0.000349 Q - 0.049 TURB}
	1 + e^{- 0.872 - 1.716 sin(2π D / 365) - 1.313 cos(2π D / 365) + 0.000349 Q - 0.049 TURB}

where:

PMC is computed probability of microcystin >= 0.1 ug/L
D is day of year, in the range of integers 1 through 365
Q is computed discharge, stage-discharge rating curve, in cubic feet per second
TURB is turbidity, YSI EXO, in formazin nephelometric units

Model Calibration

Basic Data

Number of measurements:	59
Bias correction (smearing) factor:	1

Explanatory Variables

Variable	Value	Standard error
Intercept	-0.872	0.688
sin(2π D / 365)	-1.716	0.736
cos(2π D / 365)	-1.313	0.636
Q	0.000349	0.000178
TURB	-0.049	0.0243

Correlation Matrix

A correlation matrix is not available for this model. Therefore, the prediction interval was calculated by assuming that there is no correlation between the explanatory variables.

Reference

Foster, G.M., Graham, J.L., 2016, Logistic and linear regression model documentation for statistical relations between continuous real-time and discrete water-quality constituents in the Kansas River, Kansas, July 2012 through June 2015: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2016-1040, 27 p.

Notes

Logistic Probability Microcystin